The OPTA supercomputer positions Barça as the champion of LaLiga 2024-25: Discover the surprising percentage

LaLiga EA Sports 2024-25 is at a crucial stage of the season. This edition of the Spanish tournament has just eight matchdays left until its conclusion. As is common at this point, various sectors are beginning to make predictions about how the battle for the championship title will end. The main favorite in this scenario is the FC Barcelona, although with two contenders who are not giving up their chances of becoming champions: the Real Madrid and the Atlético de Madrid.

The blue and garnet team does not hold the favorite role by chance. The team led by Hansi Flick is currently the leader of the competition, with a total of 67 points out of 90 possible, achieved through 21 victories, four draws, and five defeats after 30 matchdays played. This advantage translates into a four-point lead over Real Madrid (63), its closest pursuer.

OPTA Statistics: FC Barcelona has an 82.5% chance of being champion

The remarkable form of the FC Barcelona makes it seem like they are the clear favorite to be crowned champions of LaLiga EA Sports 2024-25. According to statistical studies conducted by specialized portals like OPTA, which use supercomputer simulations, the chances of the Catalan team being victorious are overwhelming.

According to OPTA, the FC Barcelona has an 82.5% chance of winning the LaLiga EA Sports 2024-25 title, far surpassing the Real Madrid (12.4%) and the Atlético de Madrid (2.4%). Therefore, barring a major surprise, the culé team could end up lifting their 28th league trophy.

85.2% - With eight matchdays to go, there are only three teams with chances of winning the league title according to the Opta Supercomputer, with @FCBarcelona_es being the team with the highest probability (85.2%). Statistics.@LaLiga#LALIGAEASPORTS pic.twitter.com/PchpVywfHV

— OptaJose (@OptaJose) April 7, 2025

What matches do the main candidates have left?

Next, we present the schedule of matches remaining for FC Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atlético de Madrid in LaLiga EA Sports 2024-25:

FC Barcelona:

31. CD Leganés - FC Barcelona | April 12 | Estadio Municipal de Butarque ✈️
32. FC Barcelona - Celta de Vigo | April 19 | Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys 🏠
33. FC Barcelona - RCD Mallorca | April 22 | Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys 🏠
34. Real Valladolid - FC Barcelona | May 4 | Estadio José Zorrilla ✈️
35. FC Barcelona - Real Madrid | May 11 | Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys 🏠
36. RCD Espanyol - FC Barcelona | May 14 | RCDE Stadium ✈️
37. FC Barcelona - Villarreal CF | May 18 | Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys 🏠
38. Athletic Club - FC Barcelona | May 25 | San Mamés ✈️

Real Madrid:

31. Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid | April 13 | Estadio de Mendizorroza ✈️
32. Real Madrid - Athletic Club | April 20 | Santiago Bernabéu 🏠
33. Getafe CF - Real Madrid | April 23 | Coliseum ✈️
34. Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo | May 4 | Santiago Bernabéu 🏠
35. FC Barcelona - Real Madrid | May 11 | Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys ✈️
36. Real Madrid - RCD Mallorca | May 14 | Santiago Bernabéu 🏠
37. Sevilla - Real Madrid | May 18 | Estadio Sánchez Pizjuán ✈️
38. Real Madrid - Real Sociedad | May 25 | Santiago Bernabéu 🏠

Atlético de Madrid:

31. Atlético de Madrid - Real Valladolid | April 14 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano 🏠
32. UD Las Palmas - Atlético de Madrid | April 19 | Estadio de la Gran Canaria ✈️
33. Atlético de Madrid - Rayo Vallecano | April 24 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano 🏠
34. Deportivo Alavés - Atlético de Madrid | May 4 | Estadio de Mendizorroza ✈️
35. Atlético de Madrid - Real Sociedad | May 11 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano 🏠
36. CA Osasuna - Atlético de Madrid | May 14 | El Sadar ✈️
37. Atlético de Madrid - Real Betis | May 18 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano 🏠
38. Girona - Atlético de Madrid | May 25 | Estadio Municipal de Montilivi ✈️