FC Barcelona is closer to winning their 28th league title after drawing on Saturday against Real Betis (1-1). Despite the setback at home, the Catalans gained one more point over Real Madrid in the standings, although Atlético Madrid closed in to 7 points after their victory on Sunday against Sevilla (1-2). In this sense, the azulgrana team is shaping up as the main favorite to claim the title.
Moreover, beyond the excellent play shown by Hansi Flick's team throughout the season and their superiority in direct encounters against their pursuers, even Big Data favors Barça to take home the trophy. With 24 points (8 matchdays) still to play, the supercomputer from 'Opta' gives the Catalans an 86.7% chance of winning LaLiga.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, has only a 12.3% chance of the title after their home defeat to Valencia (1-2). Although there is still a Clásico to be played in matchday 35, the 'merengues' have little chance of catching up to a Barça team that has defeated them decisively in their two previous encounters. Barça won convincingly (0-4) in the match on matchday 11 at the Santiago Bernabéu and again thrashed their biggest rival in the Supercopa de España final (2-5).
⚽Title predictions according to 'Opta' (April 5, 2025)
- FC Barcelona: 86.7%.
- Real Madrid: 12.3%
- Atlético Madrid: 0.1%
Barça could clinch the title early in LaLiga
Additionally, both teams must face each other two weeks before the league match in Montjuïc, in the Copa del Rey final. The match on Saturday, April 26, at La Cartuja could be decisive for both teams as the season closes, with LaLiga still in play and potential Champions League semifinals on the horizon, provided that both the Catalans and 'merengues' eliminate Borussia Dortmund and Arsenal, respectively, in the quarter-finals.
As the third contender for the league title, with only a 0.81% chance, Atlético appears. The 'colchoneros' were eliminated from the Champions League and Copa by Madrid and Barça, and have only managed one victory in their last four league matches. Nevertheless, Diego Simeone's team holds a slim hope for the final stretch of the season, betting on consecutive slip-ups from the first and second place teams in the coming weeks, due to the strain of remaining in three competitions for both the azulgranas and whites.
Thus, Big Data predicts an imminent title for Barça in LaLiga, which could even arrive before the Clásico on matchday 35. For this to happen, Flick's team must win their matches against Leganés, Celta, Mallorca, and Valladolid, along with at least three more slip-ups from Madrid in the next four matchdays.