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Opta's AI confirms: FC Barcelona solidifies as the top favorite for LaLiga
Published:18/03/2025 - 19:58h
Updated:18/03/2025 - 19:58h
Opta's supercomputer has named FC Barcelona as the top favorite to lift the LaLiga title after their victory at the Metropolitano against Atlético de Madrid
The FC Barcelona made a significant statement in LaLiga last Sunday against Atlético de Madrid at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The Blaugrana team achieved a crucial victory that brings them even closer to the championship, as the blow dealt to the colchoneros practically eliminates them from the title race.
In fact, Opta's supercomputer, which predicts teams' chances based on a series of parameters and simulations, confirms the team led by Hansi Flick as the main candidates to lift their 28th league trophy.
With eleven matchdays remaining in the domestic competition, the Catalans are the clear favorites to become champions of the tournament. Barcelona has a 68.5% chance of finishing the season in first place in the standings, overwhelmingly surpassing Real Madrid (28.5%) and those led by 'Cholo' Simeone (2.9%), whose chances are almost nonexistent.
In this way, the Blaugrana have made an important 'sorpasso' in the LaLiga predictions. Just a month ago, the Merengues were the main candidates for the title. In the supercomputer's forecasts from February 14, the whites had a 52% chance of winning the title, compared to 26.9% for Barcelona and 20.5% for Atlético de Madrid. Now, the situation has taken a radical turn.
𝐋𝐚 𝐋𝐢𝐠𝐚 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 🇪🇸
— Opta Analyst (@OptaAnalyst) March 17, 2025
It was a seismic, potentially decisive weekend in La Liga’s title race but how has it affected the Opta supercomputer predictions?
Barcelona is also a favorite in the Champions League
Similarly, according to Opta, Barcelona is the team with the highest chances of lifting the Champions League trophy on May 31 in Munich. The model specialized in predicting the outcomes of each match based on the historical and current performance of each team gives the Blaugrana a 20.4% chance of lifting the 'orejona' this season.
Behind the Catalans, the main favorite to reach the final is Paris Saint-Germain, who have a 19.3% chance of winning their first European title, followed by Arsenal with a 16.8% chance of making history this year and Inter Milan with a 16.4% chance for the title.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, appears as the fifth favorite to defend their Champions title. For Opta, the 'merengues' only have a 13.6% chance of winning their sixteenth Champions League. Finally, the other title contenders according to the supercomputer are Bayern Munich (9.7%), Aston Villa (2.8%), and Borussia Dortmund (1%).
⚽Opta's predictions for the final phase of the Champions
Team | Probability of advancing to 'semis' | Probability of advancing to the final | Probability of winning the Champions |
---|---|---|---|
FC Barcelona | 80 % | 41.5 % | 20.4 % |
Paris Saint-Germain | 72.2 % | 36 % | 19.3 % |
Arsenal | 58.8 % | 30.3 % | 16.8 % |
Inter Milan | 57.3 % | 32.7 % | 16.4 % |
Real Madrid | 47.2 % | 26 % | 13.6 % |
Bayern Munich | 46.7 % | 21.3 % | 9.7 % |
Aston Villa | 27.9 % | 7.7 % | 2.8 % |
Borussia Dortmund | 20 % | 4.5 % | 1 % |