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Opta's AI confirms: FC Barcelona solidifies as the top favorite for LaLiga

Published:18/03/2025 - 19:58h

Updated:18/03/2025 - 19:58h

Opta's supercomputer has named FC Barcelona as the top favorite to lift the LaLiga title after their victory at the Metropolitano against Atlético de Madrid

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The FC Barcelona made a significant statement in LaLiga last Sunday against Atlético de Madrid at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The Blaugrana team achieved a crucial victory that brings them even closer to the championship, as the blow dealt to the colchoneros practically eliminates them from the title race.

In fact, Opta's supercomputer, which predicts teams' chances based on a series of parameters and simulations, confirms the team led by Hansi Flick as the main candidates to lift their 28th league trophy.

With eleven matchdays remaining in the domestic competition, the Catalans are the clear favorites to become champions of the tournament. Barcelona has a 68.5% chance of finishing the season in first place in the standings, overwhelmingly surpassing Real Madrid (28.5%) and those led by 'Cholo' Simeone (2.9%), whose chances are almost nonexistent.

In this way, the Blaugrana have made an important 'sorpasso' in the LaLiga predictions. Just a month ago, the Merengues were the main candidates for the title. In the supercomputer's forecasts from February 14, the whites had a 52% chance of winning the title, compared to 26.9% for Barcelona and 20.5% for Atlético de Madrid. Now, the situation has taken a radical turn.

Barcelona is also a favorite in the Champions League

Similarly, according to Opta, Barcelona is the team with the highest chances of lifting the Champions League trophy on May 31 in Munich. The model specialized in predicting the outcomes of each match based on the historical and current performance of each team gives the Blaugrana a 20.4% chance of lifting the 'orejona' this season.

Behind the Catalans, the main favorite to reach the final is Paris Saint-Germain, who have a 19.3% chance of winning their first European title, followed by Arsenal with a 16.8% chance of making history this year and Inter Milan with a 16.4% chance for the title.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, appears as the fifth favorite to defend their Champions title. For Opta, the 'merengues' only have a 13.6% chance of winning their sixteenth Champions League. Finally, the other title contenders according to the supercomputer are Bayern Munich (9.7%), Aston Villa (2.8%), and Borussia Dortmund (1%).

⚽Opta's predictions for the final phase of the Champions

Team Probability of advancing to 'semis' Probability of advancing to the final Probability of winning the Champions
FC Barcelona 80 % 41.5 % 20.4 %
Paris Saint-Germain 72.2 % 36 % 19.3 %
Arsenal 58.8 % 30.3 % 16.8 %
Inter Milan 57.3 % 32.7 % 16.4 %
Real Madrid 47.2 % 26 % 13.6 %
Bayern Munich 46.7 % 21.3 % 9.7 %
Aston Villa 27.9 % 7.7 % 2.8 %
Borussia Dortmund 20 % 4.5 % 1 %

Next match of FC Barcelona

La Liga | Jornada 27
FC Barcelona
CA Osasuna

FC Barcelona - CA Osasuna

Thursday, 27 of March of 2025 No time
Estadio Olímpico Lluís Companys
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